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BCTOSSUPBC
Kelowna
S
Stephen Fuhr
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal48%±6%·93% win
Conservative37%±6%·7% win
NDP11%±6%·<1% win
Green3%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Retail & service
21.8%
#7 of 343top 5%
Median income
$50,800
Renters
37.0%
Under 35
21.3%
Top industry
Public sector · 24.9%
Area
2,692 km²
GE45 result
Margin
1.9%
Competitive
98.1/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare29.9% aged 65+
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#194
Median income
$50,800
#82
Avg 2BR rent
$1835/mo
top 25%2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T249
Unemployment
8.3%
#59
Shelter stressed
27.8%
top 25%#94
Renters
37.0%
Age distribution
Under 35
21.3%#57
35–64
48.8%
65+
29.9%#T125
Housing tenure
Renters
37.0%#94
Owners
63.0%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
7.3%#T244
High school
27.2%#116
College/trades
37.5%#140
Bachelor's
18.7%#175
Postgrad
9.4%#169
People & Economy
#T209
French knowledge
6.7%
#181
Immigrants
15.5%
#175
Recent arrivals
2.7%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#182
Visible minority
14.8%
#81
Indigenous
6.2%
top 25%#T182
Govt. transfers
12.6%
#81
Self-employed
17.0%
top 25%Industry of employment
Public sector24.9%
Trades & transport18.8%
Finance & prof10.8%
Manufacturing4.7%
Resources2.5%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
LowIndex: 18.8 / 100
Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.
ModerateIndex: 40 (avg = 100)
Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.
AverageIndex: 104.3 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$0.6M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$3.5M/yr
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