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BCSWINGBC
Abbotsford—South Langley
S
Sukhman Gill
Conservative
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Conservative45%±6%·83% win
Liberal38%±6%·17% win
NDP12%±6%·<1% win
Green3%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±3%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Construction
12.4%
#13 of 343top 5%
Median income
$47,920
Renters
33.8%
Under 35
15.9%
Top industry
Public sector · 20.0%
Area
234 km²
GE45 result
Margin
9.2%
Competitive
90.8/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare31.0% aged 65+
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#248
Median income
$47,920
#53
Avg 2BR rent
$1963/mo
top 25%2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T259
Unemployment
8.1%
bottom 25%#84
Shelter stressed
24.9%
top 25%#113
Renters
33.8%
Age distribution
Under 35
15.9%#T144
35–64
53.1%
65+
31.0%#107
Housing tenure
Renters
33.8%#113
Owners
66.2%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
13.2%#79
High school
34.6%#4
College/trades
31.6%#214
Bachelor's
14.0%#253
Postgrad
6.6%#223
People & Economy
#T314
French knowledge
4.1%
bottom 10%#127
Immigrants
25.6%
#147
Recent arrivals
3.7%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#105
Visible minority
33.6%
#104
Indigenous
5.1%
#T137
Govt. transfers
14.2%
#76
Self-employed
17.3%
top 25%Industry of employment
Trades & transport25.5%
Public sector20.0%
Manufacturing9.5%
Finance & prof7.7%
Resources5.8%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
LowIndex: 13.9 / 100
Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.
ElevatedIndex: 121.9 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$0.5M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$8.3M/yr
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