QCSAFEQuebec

Abitibi—Témiscamingue

Sébastien Lemire

Bloc Québécois

sebastien.lemire@parl.gc.ca 613-996-3250

Civic Tools

A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.

Projected vote share — current polls

Bloc Québécois49%±6%·>99% win

Liberal30%±5%·<1% win

Conservative12%±5%·<1% win

NDP5%±5%·<1% win

Green3%±3%·<1% win

People's2%±2%·<1% win

Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations

Riding snapshot

Resource sector

13.9%

#17 of 343top 5%

Median income

$50,680

Renters

30.4%

Under 35

17.8%

Top industry

Public sector · 29.0%

Area

37,660 km²

GE45 result

Margin

22.4%

Competitive

77.6/100

Key issues

Seniors & healthcare29.2% aged 65+

Demographics · 2021 Census

Key Stats

#198

Median income

$50,680

#331

Avg 2BR rent

$870/mo

bottom 5%

2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025

#T322

Unemployment

5.7%

bottom 10%

#328

Shelter stressed

9.8%

bottom 5%

#138

Renters

30.4%

Age distribution

Under 35

17.8%#T99

35–64

53.0%

65+

29.2%#146

Housing tenure

Renters

30.4%#138

Owners

68.8%

Education attainment (ages 25–64)

No diploma

17.9%#22

High school

16.8%#282

College/trades

49.1%#19

Bachelor's

11.3%#T304

Postgrad

4.8%#286

People & Economy

#38

French knowledge

98.0%

top 25%

#T333

Immigrants

1.5%

bottom 5%

#T320

Recent arrivals

0.4%

bottom 10%

Immigrants arrived 2016–21

#325

Visible minority

1.8%

bottom 10%

#T95

Indigenous

5.4%

#T84

Govt. transfers

16.2%

top 25%

#306

Self-employed

9.6%

bottom 25%

Industry of employment

Public sector29.0%

Trades & transport22.4%

Resources13.9%

Manufacturing8.3%

Finance & prof5.4%

Infrastructure & environment

Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.

Moderate

Index: 22.4 / 100

Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.

Low

Index: 2 (avg = 100)

Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.

Below average

Index: 79.2 (avg = 100)

Federal Spending

Avg federal spending

$2.2M/yr

Avg CCBF allocation

$5.7M/yr

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