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BCTOSSUPBC
Cowichan—Malahat—Langford
J
Jeff Kibble
Conservative
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
NDP38%±6%·81% win
Conservative31%±5%·16% win
Liberal26%±6%·3% win
Green4%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Construction
11.1%
#45 of 343top 25%
Median income
$51,500
Renters
25.7%
Under 35
14.1%
Top industry
Public sector · 31.1%
Area
5,325 km²
GE45 result
Margin
4.6%
Competitive
95.4/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare31.6% aged 65+
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#T184
Median income
$51,500
#105
Avg 2BR rent
$1724/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T293
Unemployment
6.8%
bottom 25%#137
Shelter stressed
21.5%
#203
Renters
25.7%
Age distribution
Under 35
14.1%#T191
35–64
54.3%
65+
31.6%#T96
Housing tenure
Renters
25.7%#203
Owners
73.4%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
9.7%#174
High school
29.6%#64
College/trades
37.4%#143
Bachelor's
15.7%#T219
Postgrad
7.7%#200
People & Economy
#217
French knowledge
6.6%
#197
Immigrants
13.4%
#T223
Recent arrivals
1.7%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#213
Visible minority
9.9%
#53
Indigenous
9.9%
top 25%#T171
Govt. transfers
13.2%
#64
Self-employed
18.0%
top 25%Industry of employment
Public sector31.1%
Trades & transport20.1%
Finance & prof9.5%
Manufacturing5.3%
Resources3.5%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
ModerateIndex: 23.9 / 100
Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.
ModerateIndex: 16 (avg = 100)
Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.
AverageIndex: 104.3 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$2.0M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$1.2M/yr
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