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QCSWINGQuebec
Jonquière
M
Mario Simard
Bloc Québécois
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Bloc Québécois40%±6%·94% win
Liberal29%±6%·6% win
Conservative21%±5%·<1% win
NDP4%±5%·<1% win
Green3%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±3%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
French knowledge
99.8%
#3 of 343top 5%
Median income
$48,720
Renters
30.1%
Under 35
15.9%
Top industry
Public sector · 29.8%
Area
59,261 km²
GE45 result
Margin
9.8%
Competitive
90.2/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare30.8% aged 65+
Climate & wildfire riskWildfire index 111 (Canada avg 100)
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#228
Median income
$48,720
#337
Avg 2BR rent
$761/mo
bottom 5%2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T333
Unemployment
5.3%
bottom 5%#326
Shelter stressed
10.0%
bottom 5%#142
Renters
30.1%
Age distribution
Under 35
15.9%#T144
35–64
53.3%
65+
30.8%#112
Housing tenure
Renters
30.1%#142
Owners
69.9%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
10.9%#138
High school
13.8%#326
College/trades
57.8%#1
Bachelor's
12.6%#282
Postgrad
5.0%#T280
People & Economy
#3
French knowledge
99.8%
top 5%#342
Immigrants
0.9%
bottom 5%#341
Recent arrivals
0.2%
bottom 5%Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#339
Visible minority
1.2%
bottom 5%#129
Indigenous
4.0%
#T68
Govt. transfers
16.7%
top 25%#T325
Self-employed
8.5%
bottom 10%Industry of employment
Public sector29.8%
Trades & transport20.5%
Manufacturing12.5%
Finance & prof7.0%
Resources4.2%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
LowIndex: 16.8 / 100
Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.
HighIndex: 111 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$12.6M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$3.7M/yr
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