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ONSWINGOntario
Markham—Stouffville
H
Helena Jaczek
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal55%±6%·>99% win
Conservative35%±5%·<1% win
NDP4%±5%·<1% win
Green3%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Finance & prof
22.9%
#22 of 343top 10%
Median income
$57,700
Renters
14.8%
Under 35
10.5%
Top industry
Finance & prof · 22.9%
Area
83 km²
GE45 result
Margin
6.1%
Competitive
93.9/100
Key issues
Immigration & settlement46.0% immigrants
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#93
Median income
$57,700
#23
Avg 2BR rent
$2198/mo
top 10%2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T109
Unemployment
11.7%
#60
Shelter stressed
27.5%
top 25%#328
Renters
14.8%
bottom 5%Age distribution
Under 35
10.5%#T303
35–64
65.5%
65+
24.0%#252
Housing tenure
Renters
14.8%#328
Owners
85.2%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
6.6%#259
High school
19.5%#232
College/trades
26.6%#280
Bachelor's
33.1%#29
Postgrad
14.3%#91
People & Economy
#T215
French knowledge
6.6%
#41
Immigrants
46.0%
top 25%#122
Recent arrivals
4.4%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#30
Visible minority
66.4%
top 10%#324
Indigenous
0.4%
bottom 10%#270
Govt. transfers
9.4%
bottom 25%#T121
Self-employed
15.5%
Industry of employment
Finance & prof22.9%
Public sector22.1%
Trades & transport11.8%
Manufacturing7.3%
Resources0.5%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
HighIndex: 38.9 / 100
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$17.5M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$6.9M/yr
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