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ONTOSSUPOntario
Markham—Unionville
M
Michael Ma
Liberal
Floor crossing — elected under Conservative
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal51%±6%·95% win
Conservative40%±5%·5% win
NDP4%±5%·<1% win
Green3%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Finance & prof
28.6%
#7 of 343top 5%
Median income
$56,400
Renters
18.3%
Under 35
13.2%
Top industry
Finance & prof · 28.6%
Area
86 km²
GE45 result
Margin
3.6%
Competitive
96.4/100
Key issues
Immigration & settlement61.0% immigrants
Employment13.3% unemployment
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#106
Median income
$56,400
#13
Avg 2BR rent
$2451/mo
top 5%2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T51
Unemployment
13.3%
top 25%#11
Shelter stressed
35.9%
top 5%#296
Renters
18.3%
bottom 25%Age distribution
Under 35
13.2%#T227
35–64
63.0%
65+
23.7%#263
Housing tenure
Renters
18.3%#296
Owners
81.7%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
6.3%#266
High school
17.0%#280
College/trades
21.3%#328
Bachelor's
37.1%#10
Postgrad
18.2%#54
People & Economy
#264
French knowledge
5.4%
bottom 25%#6
Immigrants
61.0%
top 5%#T67
Recent arrivals
6.3%
top 25%Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#4
Visible minority
87.6%
top 5%#341
Indigenous
0.1%
bottom 5%#T299
Govt. transfers
8.4%
bottom 25%#29
Self-employed
20.4%
top 10%Industry of employment
Finance & prof28.6%
Public sector18.6%
Trades & transport8.0%
Manufacturing7.2%
Resources0.3%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
HighIndex: 43.4 / 100
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$3.0M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$6.9M/yr
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