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ONSAFEOntario
Spadina—Harbourfront
C
Chi Nguyen
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal64%±6%·>99% win
Conservative22%±5%·<1% win
NDP9%±5%·<1% win
Green3%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Under 35
55.2%
#1 of 343top 5%
Median income
$82,300
Renters
57.0%
Top industry
Finance & prof · 42.6%
Area
19 km²
GE45 result
Margin
29.4%
Competitive
70.6/100
Key issues
Housing affordability57.0% renters
Immigration & settlement39.9% immigrants
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#10
Median income
$82,300
top 5%#T86
Avg 2BR rent
$1821/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T220
Unemployment
9.0%
#4
Shelter stressed
41.0%
top 5%#28
Renters
57.0%
top 10%Age distribution
Under 35
55.2%#1
35–64
38.6%
65+
6.1%#343
Housing tenure
Renters
57.0%#28
Owners
43.0%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
1.6%#343
High school
9.1%#343
College/trades
15.2%#342
Bachelor's
45.9%#1
Postgrad
28.2%#9
People & Economy
#121
French knowledge
12.5%
#55
Immigrants
39.9%
top 25%#1
Recent arrivals
12.4%
top 5%Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#48
Visible minority
52.4%
top 25%#297
Indigenous
0.8%
bottom 25%#343
Govt. transfers
2.7%
bottom 5%#T155
Self-employed
14.2%
Industry of employment
Finance & prof42.6%
Public sector15.8%
Trades & transport4.7%
Manufacturing2.9%
Resources0.4%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
Very highIndex: 76.0 / 100
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$3.1M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$7.3M/yr
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