ONSWINGOntario

Carleton

Bruce Fanjoy

Liberal

Civic Tools

A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.

Projected vote share — current polls

Liberal56%±6%·>99% win

Conservative36%±5%·<1% win

NDP4%±5%·<1% win

Green3%±4%·<1% win

People's2%±2%·<1% win

Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win

Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations

Riding snapshot

Median income

$73,400

#16 of 343top 5%

Renters

10.5%

Under 35

11.3%

Top industry

Public sector · 36.3%

Area

1,989 km²

GE45 result

Margin

5.2%

Competitive

94.8/100

Demographics · 2021 Census

Key Stats

#16

Median income

$73,400

top 5%

#33

Avg 2BR rent

$2067/mo

top 10%

2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025

#T253

Unemployment

8.2%

#291

Shelter stressed

12.9%

bottom 25%

#343

Renters

10.5%

bottom 5%

Age distribution

Under 35

11.3%#285

35–64

64.0%

65+

24.7%#237

Housing tenure

Renters

10.5%#343

Owners

89.5%

Education attainment (ages 25–64)

No diploma

4.1%#323

High school

18.5%#T255

College/trades

33.4%#193

Bachelor's

29.0%#58

Postgrad

15.0%#83

People & Economy

#92

French knowledge

29.6%

#173

Immigrants

16.9%

#T185

Recent arrivals

2.5%

Immigrants arrived 2016–21

#168

Visible minority

17.2%

#167

Indigenous

2.8%

#T320

Govt. transfers

7.1%

bottom 10%

#128

Self-employed

15.2%

Industry of employment

Public sector36.3%

Finance & prof15.5%

Trades & transport14.6%

Manufacturing3.9%

Resources1.8%

Infrastructure & environment

Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.

High

Index: 44.6 / 100

Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.

Average

Index: 93.3 (avg = 100)

Federal Spending

Avg federal spending

$2.4M/yr

Avg CCBF allocation

$0.9M/yr

Explore similar ridings

Wellington—Halton Hills North

CPCON

Similar population density and unemployment rate

Explore →