AlbertaThe PrairiesRuralToday's projection: Safe
Battle River—Crowfoot
Represented by Pierre Poilievre, Conservative. Won the 2026 by-election by 71.1 points.
Your MP
Pierre Poilievre
Conservative
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The latest profile
9/343The Warm Coast and the Coldest FileBeauséjour · Sep 8, 20269 of 343 ridings profiled
2026 by-election
Record 214 candidates ran due to the Longest Ballot Committee; write-in ballots used. Results certified August 24, 2025.
- Pierre Poilievre · ConservativeElected41,30880.9%
- Liberal2,1744.3%
- NDP1,0502.1%
- People's1370.3%
- Green1160.2%
- Margin over second
- 71.1 pts
- Turnout
- 58.8%
2025 election · Conservative by 71.1 pts
- Damien Kurek · ConservativeElected53,68482.8%
- Brent Sutton · Liberal7,56611.7%
- James MacKay · NDP2,0613.2%
- Jonathan Bridges · People's1,0221.6%
- Douglas Gook · Green4740.7%
- Margin over second
- 71.1 pts
- Turnout
- 74.4%
2021 election, on today's map · Conservative by 61.7 pts
Estimated. 2021 was fought on the old 338-seat map, so these are its votes transposed onto today's boundaries: a notional result, not a count.
- ConservativeMost votes42,53171.4%
- NDP5,7829.7%
- People's5,5569.3%
- Liberal2,5364.3%
- Green5450.9%
- Margin over second
- 61.7 pts
- Turnout
- 71.8%
If an election were held today
Our latest projection from published polls.
ShareWin
- Conservative68%>99%
- Liberal19%<1%
- NDP7%<1%
- People's4%<1%
- Green3%<1%
Bar: central estimate. Line beneath: the likely range (10th to 90th percentile). Win: chance of taking the seat.
Who lives here
Mostly the 2021 Census. Ranks compare all 343 ridings, 1st being the highest; the bar shows where this one sits.
Where it stands out
Self-employed24.4%3rd of 343
Money and housing
Renters and owners
- Renters 21.8%
- Owners 78.2%
- Median income
- $51,650tied 179th of 343
- Average 2-bedroom rent
- $1,199/mo259th of 343Estimated: 2021 Census differences scaled to CMHC's fall 2025 rents.
- Households in shelter stress
- 18.2%196th of 343
- Renters
- 21.8%254th of 343
- Unemployment
- 9.1%tied 214th of 343
- Income from government transfers
- 13.3%tied 166th of 343
People
Age
- Under 35 15.6%
- 35 to 64 53.4%
- 65 and over 31.0%
- Immigrants
- 7.7%253rd of 343
- Recent immigrants
- 1.9%212th of 343Arrived 2016 to 2021.
- Visible minority
- 6.3%248th of 343
- Indigenous
- 5.3%100th of 343
- Know French
- 2.8%335th of 343
- Population density
- 2/km²318th of 343
More: work, hazards and federal spending
Work and education
Education, ages 25 to 64
- No diploma 12.4%
- High school 32.5%
- College or trades 39.9%
- Bachelor's 11.8%
- Postgraduate 3.4%
- Public sector
- 24.0%230th of 343
- Finance and professional
- 6.1%tied 301st of 343
- Trades and transport jobs
- 21.1%102nd of 343
- Manufacturing
- 4.1%292nd of 343
- Natural resources
- 21.5%5th of 343
- Self-employed
- 24.4%3rd of 343
Hazards
- Flood risk
- LowIndex 19.4 of 100
- Wildfire risk
- LowIndex 0 (Canada = 100)
- Crime severity (metro area)
- AverageIndex 80.0 (Canada = 100)
Federal spending
- Federal spending, yearly average
- $4M/yr
- Area
- 54,543 km²
Ridings like this one
The closest to this one on six census measures, from anywhere in the country.
- Algonquin—Renfrew—PembrokeConservative· OntarioSimilar population density and share under 35
- LakelandConservative· AlbertaSimilar population density and renter share
- Thunder Bay—Rainy RiverLiberal· OntarioSimilar population density and share under 35
- CardiganLiberal· Prince Edward IslandSimilar population density and average rent