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ONSWINGOntario
Burlington North—Milton West
A
Adam Van Koeverden
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal57%±6%·>99% win
Conservative34%±5%·<1% win
NDP5%±5%·<1% win
Green3%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±3%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Avg 2BR rent
$2404/mo
#15 of 343top 5%
Median income
$68,900
Renters
16.0%
Under 35
11.5%
Top industry
Public sector · 22.9%
Area
397 km²
GE45 result
Margin
8.4%
Competitive
91.6/100
Key issues
Immigration & settlement36.1% immigrants
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#30
Median income
$68,900
top 10%#T15
Avg 2BR rent
$2404/mo
top 5%2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T143
Unemployment
10.7%
#105
Shelter stressed
23.3%
#318
Renters
16.0%
bottom 10%Age distribution
Under 35
11.5%#277
35–64
69.2%
65+
19.3%#318
Housing tenure
Renters
16.0%#318
Owners
84.0%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
3.7%#T329
High school
17.4%#271
College/trades
26.8%#277
Bachelor's
33.5%#27
Postgrad
18.7%#52
People & Economy
#T162
French knowledge
8.3%
#72
Immigrants
36.1%
top 25%#76
Recent arrivals
5.8%
top 25%Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#T67
Visible minority
43.3%
top 25%#290
Indigenous
0.9%
bottom 25%#T323
Govt. transfers
6.9%
bottom 10%#110
Self-employed
15.7%
Industry of employment
Public sector22.9%
Finance & prof20.7%
Trades & transport12.0%
Manufacturing8.4%
Resources0.9%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
ModerateIndex: 26.3 / 100
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$1.2M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$4.9M/yr
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