QCTOSSUPQuebec

Chicoutimi—Le Fjord

Richard Martel

Conservative

Civic Tools

A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.

Projected vote share — current polls

Liberal33%±6%·63% win

Bloc Québécois29%±6%·22% win

Conservative28%±6%·15% win

NDP5%±5%·<1% win

Green3%±4%·<1% win

People's2%±2%·<1% win

Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations

Riding snapshot

French knowledge

99.7%

#7 of 343top 5%

Median income

$48,480

Renters

37.7%

Under 35

16.8%

Top industry

Public sector · 32.1%

Area

3,989 km²

GE45 result

Margin

2.9%

Competitive

97.1/100

Key issues

Seniors & healthcare33.9% aged 65+

Demographics · 2021 Census

Key Stats

#234

Median income

$48,480

#334

Avg 2BR rent

$827/mo

bottom 5%

2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025

#316

Unemployment

6.0%

bottom 10%

#300

Shelter stressed

12.4%

bottom 25%

#91

Renters

37.7%

Age distribution

Under 35

16.8%#T117

35–64

49.3%

65+

33.9%#57

Housing tenure

Renters

37.7%#91

Owners

62.3%

Education attainment (ages 25–64)

No diploma

11.6%#118

High school

15.0%#316

College/trades

51.3%#5

Bachelor's

14.3%#246

Postgrad

7.9%#196

People & Economy

French knowledge

99.7%

top 5%

#329

Immigrants

1.5%

bottom 5%

#330

Recent arrivals

0.3%

bottom 5%

Immigrants arrived 2016–21

#T316

Visible minority

2.3%

bottom 10%

#133

Indigenous

3.9%

#T59

Govt. transfers

17.2%

top 25%

#T312

Self-employed

9.2%

bottom 10%

Industry of employment

Public sector32.1%

Trades & transport18.4%

Manufacturing9.4%

Finance & prof7.9%

Resources3.1%

Infrastructure & environment

Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.

Moderate

Index: 20.4 / 100

Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.

Low

Index: 1 (avg = 100)

Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.

Below average

Index: 79.2 (avg = 100)

Federal Spending

Avg federal spending

$5.7M/yr

Avg CCBF allocation

$9.2M/yr

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