BCTOSSUPBC

Cowichan—Malahat—Langford

Jeff Kibble

Conservative

Civic Tools

A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.

Projected vote share — current polls

NDP38%±6%·81% win

Conservative31%±5%·16% win

Liberal26%±6%·3% win

Green4%±4%·<1% win

People's2%±2%·<1% win

Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win

Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations

Riding snapshot

Construction

11.1%

#45 of 343top 25%

Median income

$51,500

Renters

25.7%

Under 35

14.1%

Top industry

Public sector · 31.1%

Area

5,325 km²

GE45 result

Margin

4.6%

Competitive

95.4/100

Key issues

Seniors & healthcare31.6% aged 65+

Demographics · 2021 Census

Key Stats

#T184

Median income

$51,500

#105

Avg 2BR rent

$1724/mo

2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025

#T293

Unemployment

6.8%

bottom 25%

#137

Shelter stressed

21.5%

#203

Renters

25.7%

Age distribution

Under 35

14.1%#T191

35–64

54.3%

65+

31.6%#T96

Housing tenure

Renters

25.7%#203

Owners

73.4%

Education attainment (ages 25–64)

No diploma

9.7%#174

High school

29.6%#64

College/trades

37.4%#143

Bachelor's

15.7%#T219

Postgrad

7.7%#200

People & Economy

#217

French knowledge

6.6%

#197

Immigrants

13.4%

#T223

Recent arrivals

1.7%

Immigrants arrived 2016–21

#213

Visible minority

9.9%

#53

Indigenous

9.9%

top 25%

#T171

Govt. transfers

13.2%

#64

Self-employed

18.0%

top 25%

Industry of employment

Public sector31.1%

Trades & transport20.1%

Finance & prof9.5%

Manufacturing5.3%

Resources3.5%

Infrastructure & environment

Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.

Moderate

Index: 23.9 / 100

Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.

Moderate

Index: 16 (avg = 100)

Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.

Average

Index: 104.3 (avg = 100)

Federal Spending

Avg federal spending

$2.0M/yr

Avg CCBF allocation

$1.2M/yr

Explore similar ridings

Perth—Wellington

CPCON

Similar population density and renter share

Explore →