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NSSAFEAtlantic
Dartmouth—Cole Harbour
D
Darren Fisher
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal71%±7%·>99% win
Conservative15%±5%·<1% win
NDP8%±5%·<1% win
Green3%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Public sector
32.9%
#59 of 343top 25%
Median income
$50,560
Renters
42.0%
Under 35
18.3%
Top industry
Public sector · 32.9%
Area
172 km²
GE45 result
Margin
45.0%
Competitive
55.0/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare27.3% aged 65+
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#199
Median income
$50,560
#129
Avg 2BR rent
$1616/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T123
Unemployment
11.2%
#174
Shelter stressed
19.6%
#76
Renters
42.0%
top 25%Age distribution
Under 35
18.3%#92
35–64
54.4%
65+
27.3%#184
Housing tenure
Renters
42.0%#76
Owners
58.0%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
7.9%#223
High school
24.8%#146
College/trades
34.5%#177
Bachelor's
22.9%#128
Postgrad
9.9%#159
People & Economy
#125
French knowledge
12.0%
#248
Immigrants
8.1%
#196
Recent arrivals
2.3%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#191
Visible minority
13.3%
#119
Indigenous
4.3%
#T191
Govt. transfers
12.0%
#324
Self-employed
8.6%
bottom 10%Industry of employment
Public sector32.9%#T59
Trades & transport15.7%#218
Finance & prof12.7%#126
Manufacturing4.4%#282
Resources0.6%#T256
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
Very highIndex: 53.0 / 100
Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.
LowIndex: 4 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$36.3M/yr
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