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ABLEANPrairies
Edmonton Gateway
T
Tim Uppal
Conservative
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Conservative46%±6%·75% win
Liberal42%±5%·25% win
NDP7%±6%·<1% win
Green3%±3%·<1% win
People's2%±3%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Under 35
22.5%
#45 of 343top 25%
Median income
$56,600
Renters
29.1%
Top industry
Public sector · 26.8%
Area
63 km²
GE45 result
Margin
13.3%
Competitive
86.7/100
Key issues
Immigration & settlement39.1% immigrants
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#103
Median income
$56,600
#T134
Avg 2BR rent
$1600/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T91
Unemployment
12.1%
#112
Shelter stressed
22.9%
#156
Renters
29.1%
Age distribution
Under 35
22.5%#45
35–64
60.0%
65+
17.5%#329
Housing tenure
Renters
29.1%#156
Owners
70.9%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
6.9%#251
High school
21.7%#201
College/trades
31.5%#215
Bachelor's
27.6%#T81
Postgrad
12.4%#118
People & Economy
#233
French knowledge
6.2%
#61
Immigrants
39.1%
top 25%#19
Recent arrivals
8.8%
top 10%Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#45
Visible minority
52.5%
top 25%#120
Indigenous
4.3%
#T275
Govt. transfers
9.2%
bottom 25%#T244
Self-employed
11.7%
Industry of employment
Public sector26.8%
Trades & transport19.1%
Finance & prof11.7%
Manufacturing6.6%
Resources3.3%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
ModerateIndex: 24.0 / 100
Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.
ElevatedIndex: 129.8 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$0.1M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$5.4M/yr
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