AlbertaThe PrairiesRuralToday's projection: Safe
Fort McMurray—Cold Lake
Represented by Laila Goodridge, Conservative. Won in 2025 by 65.7 points.
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The latest profile
9/343The Warm Coast and the Coldest FileBeauséjour · Sep 8, 20269 of 343 ridings profiled
2025 election
- Laila Goodridge · ConservativeElected39,64980.2%
- Kaitlyn Staines · Liberal7,19314.5%
- You-Ju Choi · NDP1,3372.7%
- Alan Clarke · People's8961.8%
- Brian Deheer · Green2900.6%
- Margin over second
- 65.7 pts
- Turnout
- 62.0%
2021 election, on today's map · Conservative by 55.1 pts
Estimated. 2021 was fought on the old 338-seat map, so these are its votes transposed onto today's boundaries: a notional result, not a count.
- ConservativeMost votes29,39467.8%
- People's5,50612.7%
- NDP4,38510.1%
- Liberal3,0667.1%
- Green4241.0%
- Margin over second
- 55.1 pts
- Turnout
- 66.9%
If an election were held today
Our latest projection from published polls.
ShareWin
- Conservative66%>99%
- Liberal21%<1%
- NDP7%<1%
- People's4%<1%
- Green3%<1%
Bar: central estimate. Line beneath: the likely range (10th to 90th percentile). Win: chance of taking the seat.
Who lives here
Mostly the 2021 Census. Ranks compare all 343 ridings, 1st being the highest; the bar shows where this one sits.
Where it stands out
Natural resources26.3%3rd of 343
Money and housing
Renters and owners
- Renters 30.0%
- Owners 66.7%
- Median income
- $84,4007th of 343
- Average 2-bedroom rent
- $1,779/mo97th of 343Estimated: 2021 Census differences scaled to CMHC's fall 2025 rents.
- Households in shelter stress
- 13.5%277th of 343
- Renters
- 30.0%144th of 343
- Unemployment
- 9.5%tied 195th of 343
- Income from government transfers
- 5.2%tied 336th of 343
People
Age
- Under 35 24.3%
- 35 to 64 65.0%
- 65 and over 10.7%
- Immigrants
- 16.3%175th of 343
- Recent immigrants
- 4.4%tied 126th of 343Arrived 2016 to 2021.
- Visible minority
- 20.4%162nd of 343
- Indigenous
- 18.2%23rd of 343
- Know French
- 7.4%tied 187th of 343
- Population density
- 1/km²329th of 343
More: work, hazards and federal spending
Work and education
Education, ages 25 to 64
- No diploma 10.1%
- High school 27.7%
- College or trades 42.2%
- Bachelor's 14.7%
- Postgraduate 5.3%
- Public sector
- 23.0%251st of 343
- Finance and professional
- 4.9%328th of 343
- Trades and transport jobs
- 29.0%1st of 343
- Manufacturing
- 1.9%338th of 343
- Natural resources
- 26.3%3rd of 343
- Self-employed
- 8.2%330th of 343
Hazards
- Flood risk
- LowIndex 19.5 of 100
- Wildfire risk
- ExtremeIndex 1,654 (Canada = 100)
- Crime severity (metro area)
- ElevatedIndex 135.5 (Canada = 100)
Federal spending
- Federal spending, yearly average
- $8.2M/yr
- Canada Community-Building Fund
- $6.6M/yr
- Area
- 147,514 km²
Ridings like this one
The closest to this one on six census measures, from anywhere in the country.
- Edmonton RiverbendLiberal· AlbertaSimilar average rent and unemployment rate
- Northwest TerritoriesLiberal· Northwest TerritoriesSimilar population density and average rent
- YellowheadConservative· AlbertaSimilar population density and renter share
- Regina—LewvanConservative· SaskatchewanSimilar renter share and unemployment rate