QCSWINGQuebec

Gaspésie—Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine—Listuguj

Alexis Deschênes

Bloc Québécois

alexis.deschenes@parl.gc.ca 613-992-6188

Civic Tools

A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.

Projected vote share — current polls

Bloc Québécois46%±6%·78% win

Liberal40%±6%·22% win

Conservative6%±5%·<1% win

NDP4%±5%·<1% win

Green3%±3%·<1% win

People's2%±3%·<1% win

Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations

Riding snapshot

Govt. transfers

25.8%

#4 of 343top 5%

Median income

$43,280

Renters

27.8%

Under 35

10.8%

Top industry

Public sector · 33.7%

Area

29,961 km²

GE45 result

Margin

7.5%

Competitive

92.5/100

Key issues

Seniors & healthcare39.4% aged 65+

Demographics · 2021 Census

Key Stats

#316

Median income

$43,280

bottom 10%

#341

Avg 2BR rent

$694/mo

bottom 5%

2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025

#T134

Unemployment

10.9%

#333

Shelter stressed

9.6%

bottom 5%

#174

Renters

27.8%

Age distribution

Under 35

10.8%#297

35–64

49.9%

65+

39.4%#T8

Housing tenure

Renters

27.8%#174

Owners

72.0%

Education attainment (ages 25–64)

No diploma

20.1%#10

High school

17.6%#270

College/trades

47.4%#32

Bachelor's

10.5%#325

Postgrad

4.4%#299

People & Economy

#43

French knowledge

96.5%

top 25%

#337

Immigrants

1.3%

bottom 5%

#T333

Recent arrivals

0.3%

bottom 5%

Immigrants arrived 2016–21

#342

Visible minority

1.0%

bottom 5%

#87

Indigenous

5.8%

#T4

Govt. transfers

25.8%

top 5%

#297

Self-employed

10.0%

bottom 25%

Industry of employment

Public sector33.7%

Trades & transport18.0%

Manufacturing9.7%

Resources8.3%

Finance & prof5.2%

Infrastructure & environment

Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.

High

Index: 41.6 / 100

Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.

Low

Index: 1 (avg = 100)

Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.

Below average

Index: 79.2 (avg = 100)

Federal Spending

Avg federal spending

$99.5M/yr

Avg CCBF allocation

$6.8M/yr

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