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ONTOSSUPOntario
Hamilton Mountain
L
Lisa Hepfner
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal51%±6%·>99% win
Conservative32%±5%·<1% win
NDP13%±6%·<1% win
Green3%±3%·<1% win
People's2%±3%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Pop. density
2860.2/km²
#50 of 343top 25%
Median income
$46,480
Renters
32.1%
Under 35
13.4%
Top industry
Public sector · 28.6%
Area
40 km²
GE45 result
Margin
4.1%
Competitive
95.9/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare30.5% aged 65+
Employment13.3% unemployment
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#271
Median income
$46,480
bottom 25%#202
Avg 2BR rent
$1403/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T51
Unemployment
13.3%
top 25%#159
Shelter stressed
20.4%
#125
Renters
32.1%
Age distribution
Under 35
13.4%#220
35–64
56.0%
65+
30.5%#116
Housing tenure
Renters
32.1%#125
Owners
67.9%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
11.7%#T112
High school
27.3%#113
College/trades
37.3%#144
Bachelor's
17.3%#199
Postgrad
6.5%#T226
People & Economy
#T290
French knowledge
4.7%
bottom 25%#113
Immigrants
28.2%
#139
Recent arrivals
3.9%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#120
Visible minority
30.1%
#204
Indigenous
2.1%
#T97
Govt. transfers
15.9%
#300
Self-employed
9.9%
bottom 25%Industry of employment
Public sector28.6%
Trades & transport18.2%
Manufacturing11.9%
Finance & prof9.4%
Resources0.5%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
LowIndex: 18.4 / 100
Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.
Below averageIndex: 78.4 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$6.3M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$10.2M/yr
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