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ONLEANOntario
Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas
J
John-Paul Danko
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal60%±6%·>99% win
Conservative28%±5%·<1% win
NDP7%±6%·<1% win
Green3%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Median income
$68,700
#31 of 343top 10%
Renters
27.4%
Under 35
14.2%
Top industry
Public sector · 34.0%
Area
108 km²
GE45 result
Margin
19.3%
Competitive
80.7/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare31.8% aged 65+
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#31
Median income
$68,700
top 10%#127
Avg 2BR rent
$1628/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T106
Unemployment
11.8%
#151
Shelter stressed
20.9%
#180
Renters
27.4%
Age distribution
Under 35
14.2%#187
35–64
54.0%
65+
31.8%#T91
Housing tenure
Renters
27.4%#180
Owners
72.7%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
5.2%#296
High school
18.1%#261
College/trades
31.0%#223
Bachelor's
26.9%#85
Postgrad
18.9%#50
People & Economy
#193
French knowledge
7.3%
#117
Immigrants
27.0%
#152
Recent arrivals
3.6%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#131
Visible minority
27.0%
#266
Indigenous
1.3%
bottom 25%#T244
Govt. transfers
10.4%
#111
Self-employed
15.7%
Industry of employment
Public sector34.0%
Finance & prof13.0%
Trades & transport12.9%
Manufacturing8.5%
Resources0.8%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
ModerateIndex: 20.9 / 100
Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.
Below averageIndex: 78.4 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$2.8M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$10.2M/yr
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