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ONSAFEOntario
Kingston and the Islands
M
Mark Gerretsen
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal67%±7%·>99% win
Conservative22%±5%·<1% win
NDP6%±5%·<1% win
Green4%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Public sector
43.0%
#13 of 343top 5%
Median income
$54,250
Renters
43.6%
Under 35
22.0%
Top industry
Public sector · 43.0%
Area
981 km²
GE45 result
Margin
32.6%
Competitive
67.4/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare30.1% aged 65+
Employment13.1% unemployment
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#137
Median income
$54,250
#112
Avg 2BR rent
$1690/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T57
Unemployment
13.1%
top 25%#85
Shelter stressed
24.8%
top 25%#T67
Renters
43.6%
top 25%Age distribution
Under 35
22.0%#50
35–64
48.0%
65+
30.1%#123
Housing tenure
Renters
43.6%#T67
Owners
56.4%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
6.2%#271
High school
24.3%#153
College/trades
33.0%#198
Bachelor's
20.6%#152
Postgrad
15.9%#71
People & Economy
#113
French knowledge
13.5%
#195
Immigrants
13.5%
#T204
Recent arrivals
2.0%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#193
Visible minority
13.2%
#124
Indigenous
4.2%
#T166
Govt. transfers
13.3%
#T230
Self-employed
12.1%
Industry of employment
Public sector43.0%
Trades & transport12.2%
Finance & prof8.7%
Manufacturing4.0%
Resources0.9%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
Very highIndex: 53.8 / 100
Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.
Below averageIndex: 76.1 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$6.1M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$7.4M/yr
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