← Map
QCSAFEQuebec
Mégantic—L’Érable—Lotbinière
L
Luc Berthold
Conservative
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Conservative51%±6%·>99% win
Liberal24%±5%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois16%±5%·<1% win
NDP4%±4%·<1% win
Green2%±3%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Manufacturing
23.0%
#2 of 343top 5%
Median income
$42,000
Renters
26.1%
Under 35
13.4%
Top industry
Manufacturing · 23.0%
Area
7,332 km²
GE45 result
Margin
37.3%
Competitive
62.7/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare36.4% aged 65+
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#322
Median income
$42,000
bottom 10%#332
Avg 2BR rent
$842/mo
bottom 5%2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T329
Unemployment
5.4%
bottom 5%#T331
Shelter stressed
9.6%
bottom 5%#T192
Renters
26.1%
Age distribution
Under 35
13.4%#222
35–64
50.2%
65+
36.4%#30
Housing tenure
Renters
26.1%#T192
Owners
73.8%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
17.8%#25
High school
18.1%#263
College/trades
52.5%#3
Bachelor's
8.5%#340
Postgrad
3.2%#338
People & Economy
#23
French knowledge
99.3%
top 10%#332
Immigrants
1.5%
bottom 5%#336
Recent arrivals
0.3%
bottom 5%Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#319
Visible minority
2.2%
bottom 10%#T231
Indigenous
1.7%
#T12
Govt. transfers
21.8%
top 5%#143
Self-employed
14.5%
Industry of employment
Manufacturing23.0%#2
Trades & transport22.5%#T52
Public sector22.3%#274
Resources8.2%#56
Finance & prof5.5%#317
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
LowIndex: 18.0 / 100
Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.
LowIndex: 0 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$19.0M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$0.0M/yr
Explore similar ridings
Berthier—Maskinongé
BQQC
Similar population density and average rent
Explore →Bécancour—Nicolet—Saurel—Alnôbak
BQQC
Similar population density and young adult share
Explore →Riding Mountain
CPCMB
Similar population density and median income
Explore →Yorkton—Melville
CPCSK
Similar population density and young adult share
Explore →