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ONSWINGOntario
Oakville East
A
Anita Anand
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal55%±6%·>99% win
Conservative35%±5%·<1% win
NDP5%±5%·<1% win
Green3%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±3%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Avg 2BR rent
$2752/mo
#3 of 343top 5%
Median income
$86,100
Renters
21.6%
Under 35
10.4%
Top industry
Finance & prof · 27.2%
Area
81 km²
GE45 result
Margin
6.3%
Competitive
93.7/100
Key issues
Immigration & settlement42.7% immigrants
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#6
Median income
$86,100
top 5%#3
Avg 2BR rent
$2752/mo
top 5%2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T111
Unemployment
11.6%
#57
Shelter stressed
27.9%
top 25%#260
Renters
21.6%
bottom 25%Age distribution
Under 35
10.4%#306
35–64
66.0%
65+
23.7%#264
Housing tenure
Renters
21.6%#260
Owners
78.4%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
2.6%#339
High school
13.1%#332
College/trades
21.5%#327
Bachelor's
37.3%#8
Postgrad
25.5%#12
People & Economy
#143
French knowledge
10.3%
#46
Immigrants
42.7%
top 25%#T25
Recent arrivals
8.0%
top 10%Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#53
Visible minority
47.4%
top 25%#T319
Indigenous
0.5%
bottom 10%#T336
Govt. transfers
5.2%
bottom 5%#33
Self-employed
19.7%
top 10%Industry of employment
Finance & prof27.2%
Public sector20.9%
Trades & transport9.0%
Manufacturing6.7%
Resources0.7%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
ModerateIndex: 25.2 / 100
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$1952.9M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$4.6M/yr
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