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ABSAFEPrairies
Parkland
D
Dane Lloyd
Conservative
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Conservative67%±6%·>99% win
Liberal22%±4%·<1% win
NDP6%±5%·<1% win
Green3%±3%·<1% win
People's3%±3%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Construction
14.0%
#5 of 343top 5%
Median income
$59,500
Renters
18.8%
Under 35
16.1%
Top industry
Public sector · 21.3%
Area
10,160 km²
GE45 result
Margin
57.4%
Competitive
42.6/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare25.6% aged 65+
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#76
Median income
$59,500
top 25%#160
Avg 2BR rent
$1521/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T143
Unemployment
10.7%
#T186
Shelter stressed
18.6%
#290
Renters
18.8%
bottom 25%Age distribution
Under 35
16.1%#136
35–64
58.3%
65+
25.6%#223
Housing tenure
Renters
18.8%#290
Owners
80.1%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
11.9%#101
High school
30.7%#T46
College/trades
42.1%#T59
Bachelor's
12.0%#291
Postgrad
3.3%#336
People & Economy
#T292
French knowledge
4.7%
bottom 25%#250
Immigrants
7.8%
#T238
Recent arrivals
1.3%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#253
Visible minority
6.0%
#50
Indigenous
10.2%
top 25%#T238
Govt. transfers
10.6%
#92
Self-employed
16.7%
Industry of employment
Trades & transport27.2%
Public sector21.3%
Resources10.8%
Finance & prof7.5%
Manufacturing5.7%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
LowIndex: 12.0 / 100
Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.
ModerateIndex: 31 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$0.4M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$1.8M/yr
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