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ONLEANOntario
Scarborough Centre—Don Valley East
S
Salma Zahid
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal61%±6%·>99% win
Conservative28%±5%·<1% win
NDP5%±5%·<1% win
Green3%±3%·<1% win
People's2%±3%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Unemployment
15.7%
#20 of 343top 10%
Median income
$45,440
Renters
50.9%
Under 35
11.9%
Top industry
Public sector · 22.1%
Area
31 km²
GE45 result
Margin
19.2%
Competitive
80.8/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare28.6% aged 65+
Immigration & settlement52.7% immigrants
Employment15.7% unemployment
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#T290
Median income
$45,440
bottom 25%#T86
Avg 2BR rent
$1821/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#20
Unemployment
15.7%
top 10%#28
Shelter stressed
31.0%
top 10%#43
Renters
50.9%
top 25%Age distribution
Under 35
11.9%#T271
35–64
59.5%
65+
28.6%#T161
Housing tenure
Renters
50.9%#43
Owners
49.1%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
10.0%#165
High school
23.9%#163
College/trades
27.8%#268
Bachelor's
25.4%#104
Postgrad
13.0%#109
People & Economy
#T209
French knowledge
6.7%
#23
Immigrants
52.7%
top 10%#22
Recent arrivals
8.3%
top 10%Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#31
Visible minority
65.9%
top 10%#T298
Indigenous
0.8%
bottom 25%#T115
Govt. transfers
15.1%
#195
Self-employed
13.0%
Industry of employment
Public sector22.1%
Finance & prof17.0%
Trades & transport15.5%
Manufacturing7.7%
Resources0.3%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
ModerateIndex: 24.5 / 100
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$0.3M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$7.3M/yr
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