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ONSAFEOntario
Scarborough—Woburn
M
Michael Coteau
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal64%±6%·>99% win
Conservative25%±5%·<1% win
NDP6%±5%·<1% win
Green4%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Unemployment
16.2%
#16 of 343top 5%
Median income
$40,240
Renters
45.4%
Under 35
14.9%
Top industry
Public sector · 21.5%
Area
25 km²
GE45 result
Margin
26.3%
Competitive
73.7/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare28.3% aged 65+
Immigration & settlement55.7% immigrants
Employment16.2% unemployment
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#333
Median income
$40,240
bottom 5%#168
Avg 2BR rent
$1499/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T16
Unemployment
16.2%
top 5%#44
Shelter stressed
29.4%
top 25%#60
Renters
45.4%
top 25%Age distribution
Under 35
14.9%#177
35–64
56.8%
65+
28.3%#165
Housing tenure
Renters
45.4%#60
Owners
54.6%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
11.7%#T112
High school
24.0%#160
College/trades
26.9%#275
Bachelor's
24.8%#110
Postgrad
12.5%#115
People & Economy
#283
French knowledge
4.9%
bottom 25%#18
Immigrants
55.7%
top 10%#21
Recent arrivals
8.3%
top 10%Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#11
Visible minority
79.8%
top 5%#T308
Indigenous
0.7%
bottom 25%#T36
Govt. transfers
18.3%
top 25%#257
Self-employed
11.4%
Industry of employment
Public sector21.5%
Finance & prof16.3%
Trades & transport15.2%
Manufacturing10.0%
Resources0.2%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
HighIndex: 37.8 / 100
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$1.2M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$7.3M/yr
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