ONLEANOntario

Stormont—Dundas—Glengarry

Eric Duncan

Conservative

Civic Tools

A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.

Projected vote share — current polls

Conservative48%±6%·79% win

Liberal42%±5%·21% win

NDP5%±5%·<1% win

Green3%±4%·<1% win

People's2%±2%·<1% win

Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win

Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations

Riding snapshot

Govt. transfers

18.3%

#36 of 343top 25%

Median income

$46,960

Renters

29.6%

Under 35

14.0%

Top industry

Public sector · 27.8%

Area

3,587 km²

GE45 result

Margin

16.5%

Competitive

83.5/100

Key issues

Seniors & healthcare34.5% aged 65+

Demographics · 2021 Census

Key Stats

#264

Median income

$46,960

bottom 25%

#284

Avg 2BR rent

$1107/mo

bottom 25%

2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025

#T195

Unemployment

9.5%

#216

Shelter stressed

17.2%

#151

Renters

29.6%

Age distribution

Under 35

14.0%#T194

35–64

51.4%

65+

34.5%#50

Housing tenure

Renters

29.6%#151

Owners

70.4%

Education attainment (ages 25–64)

No diploma

12.5%#87

High school

31.3%#T35

College/trades

41.4%#72

Bachelor's

10.7%#322

Postgrad

4.2%#305

People & Economy

#89

French knowledge

38.1%

#265

Immigrants

6.9%

bottom 25%

#273

Recent arrivals

0.8%

bottom 25%

Immigrants arrived 2016–21

#265

Visible minority

5.5%

bottom 25%

#115

Indigenous

4.4%

#T36

Govt. transfers

18.3%

top 25%

#T170

Self-employed

13.7%

Industry of employment

Public sector27.8%

Trades & transport22.7%

Manufacturing10.9%

Finance & prof6.1%

Resources4.9%

Infrastructure & environment

Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.

High

Index: 42.8 / 100

Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.

Below average

Index: 76.2 (avg = 100)

Federal Spending

Avg federal spending

$3.8M/yr

Avg CCBF allocation

$5.5M/yr

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