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BCTOSSUPBC
Surrey Centre
R
Randeep Sarai
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal47%±6%·97% win
Conservative34%±5%·3% win
NDP14%±6%·<1% win
Green3%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Under 35
24.6%
#27 of 343top 10%
Median income
$40,600
Renters
45.9%
Top industry
Retail & service · 20.3%
Area
42 km²
GE45 result
Margin
4.8%
Competitive
95.2/100
Key issues
Immigration & settlement48.6% immigrants
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#330
Median income
$40,600
bottom 5%#49
Avg 2BR rent
$1990/mo
top 25%2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T195
Unemployment
9.5%
#46
Shelter stressed
28.9%
top 25%#57
Renters
45.9%
top 25%Age distribution
Under 35
24.6%#27
35–64
57.1%
65+
18.3%#326
Housing tenure
Renters
45.9%#57
Owners
54.2%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
15.4%#51
High school
28.9%#77
College/trades
26.0%#287
Bachelor's
19.5%#165
Postgrad
10.2%#153
People & Economy
#326
French knowledge
3.4%
bottom 5%#36
Immigrants
48.6%
top 25%#10
Recent arrivals
9.7%
top 5%Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#T17
Visible minority
75.8%
top 5%#172
Indigenous
2.8%
#T160
Govt. transfers
13.4%
#T236
Self-employed
11.9%
Industry of employment
Trades & transport26.5%
Public sector18.5%
Finance & prof9.1%
Manufacturing8.2%
Resources1.3%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
ModerateIndex: 29.6 / 100
Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.
ElevatedIndex: 139.7 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$4.1M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$6.1M/yr
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