A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal45%±6%·>99% win
Bloc Québécois26%±5%·<1% win
Conservative19%±5%·<1% win
NDP5%±5%·<1% win
Green3%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Retail & service
21.1%
#18 of 343top 10%
Median income
$45,440
Renters
50.1%
Under 35
19.1%
Top industry
Public sector · 33.1%
Area
145 km²
GE45 result
Margin
13.4%
Competitive
86.6/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare33.2% aged 65+
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#T290
Median income
$45,440
bottom 25%
#335
Avg 2BR rent
$789/mo
bottom 5%
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#283
Unemployment
7.2%
bottom 25%
#268
Shelter stressed
14.0%
bottom 25%
#45
Renters
50.1%
top 25%
Age distribution
Under 35
19.1%#80
35–64
47.6%
65+
33.2%#64
Housing tenure
Renters
50.1%#45
Owners
49.9%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
12.0%#96
High school
16.4%#T292
College/trades
45.9%#T39
Bachelor's
16.2%#210
Postgrad
9.4%#168
People & Economy
#T19
French knowledge
99.3%
top 10%
#286
Immigrants
5.1%
bottom 25%
#242
Recent arrivals
1.3%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#234
Visible minority
7.0%
#207
Indigenous
2.0%
#T28
Govt. transfers
19.2%
top 10%
#310
Self-employed
9.3%
bottom 10%
Industry of employment
Public sector33.1%
Trades & transport15.5%
Manufacturing10.9%
Finance & prof8.1%
Resources0.9%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
High
Index: 43.6 / 100
Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.