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BCSAFEBC
Vancouver Centre
H
Hedy Fry
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal54%±6%·>99% win
Conservative21%±5%·<1% win
NDP19%±5%·<1% win
Green4%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Shelter stressed
41.7%
#3 of 343top 5%
Median income
$69,800
Renters
68.3%
Under 35
34.3%
Top industry
Finance & prof · 26.2%
Area
17 km²
GE45 result
Margin
24.9%
Competitive
75.1/100
Key issues
Housing affordability68.3% renters
Immigration & settlement40.6% immigrants
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#26
Median income
$69,800
top 10%#4
Avg 2BR rent
$2742/mo
top 5%2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T241
Unemployment
8.5%
#3
Shelter stressed
41.7%
top 5%#9
Renters
68.3%
top 5%Age distribution
Under 35
34.3%#8
35–64
48.9%
65+
16.9%#332
Housing tenure
Renters
68.3%#9
Owners
31.7%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
2.4%#341
High school
14.4%#319
College/trades
22.1%#323
Bachelor's
37.5%#6
Postgrad
23.6%#18
People & Economy
#137
French knowledge
10.8%
#54
Immigrants
40.6%
top 25%#7
Recent arrivals
10.0%
top 5%Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#69
Visible minority
43.2%
top 25%#201
Indigenous
2.1%
#339
Govt. transfers
4.8%
bottom 5%#T50
Self-employed
18.7%
top 25%Industry of employment
Finance & prof26.2%
Public sector20.4%
Trades & transport7.4%
Manufacturing2.8%
Resources0.9%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
Very highIndex: 66.9 / 100
Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.
AverageIndex: 104.3 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$48.4M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$5.9M/yr
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