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ONSAFEOntario
Vaughan—Woodbridge
M
Michael Guglielmin
Conservative
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Conservative51%±5%·94% win
Liberal40%±5%·6% win
NDP4%±4%·<1% win
Green3%±3%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Avg 2BR rent
$2674/mo
#6 of 343top 5%
Median income
$60,900
Renters
11.3%
Under 35
7.7%
Top industry
Public sector · 19.8%
Area
92 km²
GE45 result
Margin
22.0%
Competitive
78.0/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare28.7% aged 65+
Immigration & settlement42.4% immigrants
Employment12.6% unemployment
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#62
Median income
$60,900
top 25%#6
Avg 2BR rent
$2674/mo
top 5%2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T70
Unemployment
12.6%
top 25%#102
Shelter stressed
23.5%
#341
Renters
11.3%
bottom 5%Age distribution
Under 35
7.7%#341
35–64
63.6%
65+
28.7%#158
Housing tenure
Renters
11.3%#341
Owners
88.7%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
9.0%#188
High school
23.1%#175
College/trades
30.1%#235
Bachelor's
25.4%#102
Postgrad
12.3%#121
People & Economy
#276
French knowledge
5.0%
bottom 25%#49
Immigrants
42.4%
top 25%#T165
Recent arrivals
3.0%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#93
Visible minority
36.6%
#338
Indigenous
0.2%
bottom 5%#T265
Govt. transfers
9.7%
bottom 25%#91
Self-employed
16.7%
Industry of employment
Public sector19.8%
Trades & transport17.6%
Finance & prof16.2%
Manufacturing10.6%
Resources0.2%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
HighIndex: 41.9 / 100
Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.
Below averageIndex: 76.2 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$2.3M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$8.1M/yr
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