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MBTOSSUPPrairies
Winnipeg Centre
L
Leah Gazan
NDP
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
NDP42%±6%·69% win
Liberal38%±6%·31% win
Conservative14%±6%·<1% win
Green3%±4%·<1% win
People's3%±3%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Renters
61.6%
#14 of 343top 5%
Median income
$39,120
Under 35
26.6%
Top industry
Public sector · 28.0%
Area
32 km²
GE45 result
Margin
4.0%
Competitive
96.0/100
Key issues
Housing affordability61.6% renters
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#340
Median income
$39,120
bottom 5%#275
Avg 2BR rent
$1146/mo
bottom 25%2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T114
Unemployment
11.5%
#75
Shelter stressed
26.2%
top 25%#14
Renters
61.6%
top 5%Age distribution
Under 35
26.6%#17
35–64
54.2%
65+
19.2%#319
Housing tenure
Renters
61.6%#14
Owners
38.4%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
16.1%#45
High school
27.8%#T100
College/trades
26.4%#282
Bachelor's
21.5%#140
Postgrad
8.2%#191
People & Economy
#181
French knowledge
7.6%
#92
Immigrants
32.4%
#36
Recent arrivals
7.3%
top 25%Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#77
Visible minority
42.0%
top 25%#16
Indigenous
20.9%
top 5%#T64
Govt. transfers
17.0%
top 25%#T325
Self-employed
8.5%
bottom 10%Industry of employment
Public sector28.0%
Trades & transport15.7%
Manufacturing10.3%
Finance & prof8.8%
Resources0.7%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
HighIndex: 43.7 / 100
Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.
High severityIndex: 159.7 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$42.1M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$7.4M/yr
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