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Northwest and West CentralSafeRural

Cut Knife-Turtleford

MLA: James Thorsteinson · Saskatchewan Party

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for October 30, 2028.

Saskatchewan Party>99% chance of winning

  • Saskatchewan Party · 67.4% projected vote>99%

2024 result

  • James Thorsteinson · Saskatchewan Partyelected5,59771.3%
  • Clayton Poole · Saskatchewan NDP1,53619.6%
  • Steve Gessner · Sask United5667.2%
  • Holly Ennis · Green1542.0%
Margin
51.7%
Tier
Safe
Turnout
55.2%
Registered
14,221

2020 result, moved onto today's map

Fought on the old map. NorthernVibe moved this result onto today's boundaries, polling division by polling division, so it is an estimate of how this constituency voted, not a count. It is here for comparison; the projection starts from 2024.

  • Saskatchewan Party6,00276.3%
  • Saskatchewan NDP1,09613.9%
  • Buffalo6137.8%
  • Green1501.9%

Constituency at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Saskatchewan's provincial constituencies, so these are built from the dissemination areas inside each one, an area crossed by a boundary divided by where its people live: counts are weighted sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 61 constituencies.

Median household income
$81,00031 of 61
Average rent
$89845 of 61
Renters
12.4%55 of 61
Bachelor's or higher
9.7%58 of 61
Median age
41.720 of 61
Over 65
20.1%25 of 61
Visible minority
1.9%57 of 61
Immigrants
2.8%56 of 61
Indigenous identity
22.7%14 of 61
Unemployment
6.4%45 of 61

Closest races, Northwest and West Central

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Results and boundaries: Elections Saskatchewan. Census profile: Statistics Canada, 2021 Census of Population, combined into constituencies by NorthernVibe.