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East Central and SoutheastSafeRural

Last Mountain-Touchwood

MLA: Travis Keisig · Saskatchewan Party

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for October 30, 2028.

Saskatchewan Party95% chance of winning

  • Saskatchewan Party · 48.9% projected vote95%
  • Saskatchewan NDP · 35.9% projected vote5%

2024 result

  • Travis Keisig · Saskatchewan Partyelected4,14453.1%
  • Thera Nordal · Saskatchewan NDP2,50132.0%
  • Gene Unruh · Sask United1,10714.2%
  • Elvin Mandziak · Buffalo550.7%
Margin
21.1%
Tier
Safe
Turnout
61.0%
Registered
12,807

2020 result, moved onto today's map

Fought on the old map. NorthernVibe moved this result onto today's boundaries, polling division by polling division, so it is an estimate of how this constituency voted, not a count. It is here for comparison; the projection starts from 2024.

  • Saskatchewan Party4,80862.2%
  • Saskatchewan NDP2,07626.9%
  • Progressive Conservative3564.6%
  • Buffalo3144.1%
  • Green1762.3%

Constituency at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Saskatchewan's provincial constituencies, so these are built from the dissemination areas inside each one, an area crossed by a boundary divided by where its people live: counts are weighted sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 61 constituencies.

Median household income
$70,00050 of 61
Average rent
$75659 of 61
Renters
11.4%56 of 61
Bachelor's or higher
10.3%55 of 61
Median age
44.56 of 61
Over 65
22.3%10 of 61
Visible minority
1.5%58 of 61
Immigrants
2.8%57 of 61
Indigenous identity
29.0%9 of 61
Unemployment
7.7%32 of 61

Closest races, East Central and Southeast

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Results and boundaries: Elections Saskatchewan. Census profile: Statistics Canada, 2021 Census of Population, combined into constituencies by NorthernVibe.