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Saskatoon–MartensvilleSafeUrban

Saskatoon Chief Mistawasis

MLA: Don McBean · Saskatchewan NDP

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for October 30, 2028.

Saskatchewan NDP95% chance of winning

  • Saskatchewan NDP · 53.5% projected vote95%
  • Saskatchewan Party · 40.6% projected vote5%

2024 result

  • Don McBean · Saskatchewan NDPelected4,72151.5%
  • Parminder Singh · Saskatchewan Party4,16245.4%
  • Shane Caellaigh · Green2853.1%
Margin
6.1%
Tier
Swing
Turnout
62.5%
Registered
14,664

2020 result, moved onto today's map

Fought on the old map. NorthernVibe moved this result onto today's boundaries, polling division by polling division, so it is an estimate of how this constituency voted, not a count. It is here for comparison; the projection starts from 2024.

  • Saskatchewan Party5,17163.0%
  • Saskatchewan NDP2,86534.9%
  • Green1692.1%

Constituency at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Saskatchewan's provincial constituencies, so these are built from the dissemination areas inside each one, an area crossed by a boundary divided by where its people live: counts are weighted sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 61 constituencies.

Median household income
$111,5006 of 61
Average rent
$1,3805 of 61
Renters
23.9%28 of 61
Bachelor's or higher
32.5%13 of 61
Median age
36.445 of 61
Over 65
13.4%46 of 61
Visible minority
20.1%18 of 61
Immigrants
17.5%17 of 61
Indigenous identity
9.0%34 of 61
Unemployment
6.4%44 of 61

Closest races, Saskatoon–Martensville

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Results and boundaries: Elections Saskatchewan. Census profile: Statistics Canada, 2021 Census of Population, combined into constituencies by NorthernVibe.