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Metro VancouverSafeUrban
Delta South
Incumbent: Ian Paton · Conservative
Projected winner
Projection as of Oct 11, 2026. Nominations closed Oct 3, 2026.
Conservative99% chance of winning
- Conservative · Ian Paton (incumbent)99%
- BC NDP · Jason McCormick1%
- BC Green · Skadi Green
- OneBC · Jim McMurtry
2024 result
- Ian Patonelected14,49155.1%
- Jason McCormick11,82244.9%
- Margin
- 10.1%
- Tier
- Lean
- Turnout
- 64.8%
- Registered
- 40,611
2020 result
Estimated. 2020 was fought on the previous 87-district map, so these votes are transposed onto today's boundaries using Elections BC's voting-area conversion table. A notional baseline, not a count.
- Ian Patonelected12,68348.5%
- Bruce Reid8,32631.9%
- Peter van der Velden3,54413.6%
- Ravi Kahlon8573.3%
- Jet Sunner5442.1%
- Neema Manral1830.7%
Who actually voted
2024 turnout by age band. Elections BC publishes this per district; Elections Canada does not, so federal ridings have no equivalent.
- 18-2455%
- 25-3451%
- 35-4458%
- 45-5463%
- 55-6470%
- 65-7475%
- 75+69%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population, published by Statistics Canada directly on these boundaries — nothing here is interpolated from a different map. Ranks are against all 93 districts.
- Median household income
- $104,00012 of 93
- Average rent
- $1,68218 of 93
- Renters
- 22.6%69 of 93
- Bachelor's or higher
- 27.9%40 of 93
- Median age
- 49.213 of 93
- Over 65
- 25.7%18 of 93
- Immigrants
- 23.3%47 of 93
- Visible minority
- 24.1%45 of 93
- Indigenous identity
- 3.8%52 of 93
- Unemployment
- 6.9%82 of 93
Closest races in Metro Vancouver
The seats most likely to move with this one.