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NorthSwingRural
Peace River North
Incumbent: Jordan Kealy · Independent
Projected winner
Projection as of Oct 11, 2026. Nominations closed Oct 3, 2026.
Conservative69% chance of winning
- Conservative · Curtis Whitford69%
- Independent · Jordan Kealy (incumbent)31%
2024 result
- Jordan Kealyelected11,21374.4%
- Dan Davies3,03820.1%
- Ian McMahon8285.5%
- Margin
- 54.2%
- Tier
- Safe
- Turnout
- 57.1%
- Registered
- 26,413
2020 result
Estimated. 2020 was fought on the previous 87-district map, so these votes are transposed onto today's boundaries using Elections BC's voting-area conversion table. A notional baseline, not a count.
- Dan Davieselected6,64355.7%
- Trevor Bolin4,09534.3%
- Danielle Monroe1,1739.8%
- Mike Bernier100.1%
- Kathleen Connolly60.1%
- Cory Grizz Longley50.0%
- Dorothy Sharon Smith10.0%
Who actually voted
2024 turnout by age band. Elections BC publishes this per district; Elections Canada does not, so federal ridings have no equivalent.
- 18-2450%
- 25-3446%
- 35-4453%
- 45-5459%
- 55-6463%
- 65-7471%
- 75+67%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population, published by Statistics Canada directly on these boundaries — nothing here is interpolated from a different map. Ranks are against all 93 districts.
- Median household income
- $100,00021 of 93
- Average rent
- $1,18274 of 93
- Renters
- 31.8%34 of 93
- Bachelor's or higher
- 13.3%86 of 93
- Median age
- 34.493 of 93
- Over 65
- 10.5%93 of 93
- Immigrants
- 9.9%83 of 93
- Visible minority
- 10.2%66 of 93
- Indigenous identity
- 15.8%10 of 93
- Unemployment
- 8.9%38 of 93
Closest races in North
The seats most likely to move with this one.