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InteriorLeanRural

Penticton-Summerland

MLA at dissolution: Amelia Boultbee · BC NDP · not running here

Projected winner

Projection as of Oct 11, 2026. Nominations closed Oct 3, 2026.

Conservative86% chance of winning

  • Conservative · Tracy St Claire86%
  • BC NDP · Tina Lee14%
  • BC Green · Bradley Sean Bartsch
  • OneBC · Warren Hamm

2024 result

  • Amelia Boultbeeelected11,61541.4%
  • Tina Lee11,29840.2%
  • Tracy St Claire2,7209.7%
  • Bradley Bartsch1,4725.2%
  • Roger Harrington8273.0%
  • Anna Paddon1440.5%
Margin
1.1%
Tier
Toss-up
Turnout
61.4%
Registered
45,707

2020 result

Estimated. 2020 was fought on the previous 87-district map, so these votes are transposed onto today's boundaries using Elections BC's voting-area conversion table. A notional baseline, not a count.

  • Dan Ashtonelected11,63647.4%
  • Toni Boot9,18137.4%
  • Ted Shumaker2,77511.3%
  • Keith MacIntyre6112.5%
  • Roly Russell1440.6%
  • Petra Veintimilla1130.5%
  • Renee Merrifield420.2%
  • Darryl Seres280.1%
  • Krystal Smith230.1%
  • Amanda Poon140.1%
  • Arlyn Greig60.0%

Who actually voted

2024 turnout by age band. Elections BC publishes this per district; Elections Canada does not, so federal ridings have no equivalent.

  • 18-24
    43%
  • 25-34
    42%
  • 35-44
    54%
  • 45-54
    57%
  • 55-64
    65%
  • 65-74
    74%
  • 75+
    69%

District at a glance

2021 Census of Population, published by Statistics Canada directly on these boundaries — nothing here is interpolated from a different map. Ranks are against all 93 districts.

Median household income
$72,50080 of 93
Average rent
$1,32858 of 93
Renters
29.9%41 of 93
Bachelor's or higher
18.8%65 of 93
Median age
53.27 of 93
Over 65
30.9%6 of 93
Immigrants
13.2%69 of 93
Visible minority
7.6%70 of 93
Indigenous identity
7.3%26 of 93
Unemployment
8.2%57 of 93

Closest races in Interior

The seats most likely to move with this one.