← Map
Metro VancouverSafeUrban
Surrey-Cloverdale
MLA at dissolution: Elenore Sturko · CentreBC · not running here
Projected winner
Projection as of Oct 11, 2026. Nominations closed Oct 3, 2026.
Conservative90% chance of winning
- Conservative · Nicholas Cartmell90%
- BC NDP · Stephen Dooley10%
- BC Green · Pat McCutcheon
- OneBC · Travis Marchenski
- CentreBC · Sargy Chima
2024 result
- Elenore Sturkoelected10,26848.3%
- Mike Starchuk9,68245.6%
- Pat McCutcheon1,1505.4%
- Judy Meilleur1530.7%
- Margin
- 2.8%
- Tier
- Toss-up
- Turnout
- 55.8%
- Registered
- 38,069
2020 result
Estimated. 2020 was fought on the previous 87-district map, so these votes are transposed onto today's boundaries using Elections BC's voting-area conversion table. A notional baseline, not a count.
- Pauline Greaveselected5,16024.6%
- Mike Starchuk5,09224.2%
- Stephanie Cadieux4,99023.8%
- Marvin Hunt3,44016.4%
- Tim Ibbotson1,0314.9%
- Rebecca Smith8734.2%
- Aisha Rehana Bali3671.8%
- Marcella Williams590.3%
Who actually voted
2024 turnout by age band. Elections BC publishes this per district; Elections Canada does not, so federal ridings have no equivalent.
- 18-2452%
- 25-3443%
- 35-4453%
- 45-5459%
- 55-6462%
- 65-7467%
- 75+63%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population, published by Statistics Canada directly on these boundaries — nothing here is interpolated from a different map. Ranks are against all 93 districts.
- Median household income
- $109,0007 of 93
- Average rent
- $1,56827 of 93
- Renters
- 23.4%62 of 93
- Bachelor's or higher
- 23.8%50 of 93
- Median age
- 37.684 of 93
- Over 65
- 12.3%90 of 93
- Immigrants
- 30.0%40 of 93
- Visible minority
- 42.9%32 of 93
- Indigenous identity
- 3.5%54 of 93
- Unemployment
- 7.0%81 of 93
Closest races in Metro Vancouver
The seats most likely to move with this one.