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Metro VancouverLeanUrban
Surrey South
MLA at dissolution: Brent Chapman · OneBC · not running here
Projected winner
Projection as of Oct 11, 2026. Nominations closed Oct 3, 2026.
Conservative90% chance of winning
- Conservative · Megan Knight90%
- CentreBC · Elenore Sturko10%
- BC NDP · Parik Tahlan
- BC Green · Bill McConnell
2024 result
- Brent Chapmanelected13,05658.8%
- Haroon Ghaffar9,13641.2%
- Margin
- 17.7%
- Tier
- Lean
- Turnout
- 56.0%
- Registered
- 39,633
2020 result
Estimated. 2020 was fought on the previous 87-district map, so these votes are transposed onto today's boundaries using Elections BC's voting-area conversion table. A notional baseline, not a count.
- Stephanie Cadieuxelected7,93543.3%
- Pauline Greaves6,60036.0%
- Tim Ibbotson1,5868.6%
- Jinny Sims1,1006.0%
- Gulzar Cheema1,0805.9%
- Sophie Shrestha470.3%
Who actually voted
2024 turnout by age band. Elections BC publishes this per district; Elections Canada does not, so federal ridings have no equivalent.
- 18-2451%
- 25-3444%
- 35-4452%
- 45-5456%
- 55-6459%
- 65-7467%
- 75+64%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population, published by Statistics Canada directly on these boundaries — nothing here is interpolated from a different map. Ranks are against all 93 districts.
- Median household income
- $110,0006 of 93
- Average rent
- $1,9905 of 93
- Renters
- 20.2%79 of 93
- Bachelor's or higher
- 36.3%25 of 93
- Median age
- 42.047 of 93
- Over 65
- 18.4%49 of 93
- Immigrants
- 35.5%34 of 93
- Visible minority
- 46.9%28 of 93
- Indigenous identity
- 1.7%80 of 93
- Unemployment
- 8.0%66 of 93
Closest races in Metro Vancouver
The seats most likely to move with this one.