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Metro VancouverSafeUrban
Vancouver-Kensington
Incumbent: Mable Elmore · BC NDP
Projected winner
Projection as of Oct 11, 2026. Nominations closed Oct 3, 2026.
BC NDP>99% chance of winning
- BC NDP · Mable Elmore (incumbent)>99%
- Conservative · Aron Lageri
- BC Green · Adam Hawk
2024 result
- Mable Elmoreelected11,71360.9%
- Syed Mohsin6,06131.5%
- Amy Fox1,4587.6%
- Margin
- 29.4%
- Tier
- Safe
- Turnout
- 51.4%
- Registered
- 37,396
2020 result
Estimated. 2020 was fought on the previous 87-district map, so these votes are transposed onto today's boundaries using Elections BC's voting-area conversion table. A notional baseline, not a count.
- Mable Elmoreelected10,63652.2%
- Paul Lepage4,52422.2%
- Nazanin Moghadami2,37511.7%
- Adrian Dix1,2706.2%
- Cole Anderson4722.3%
- Michael Lee3631.8%
- Tesicca Chi-Ying Truong3071.5%
- Scott Bernstein1690.8%
- Salvatore Vetro1660.8%
- Stephanie Hendy660.3%
- Karin Litzcke250.1%
- Paul Matthews80.0%
Who actually voted
2024 turnout by age band. Elections BC publishes this per district; Elections Canada does not, so federal ridings have no equivalent.
- 18-2453%
- 25-3446%
- 35-4452%
- 45-5456%
- 55-6455%
- 65-7455%
- 75+43%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population, published by Statistics Canada directly on these boundaries — nothing here is interpolated from a different map. Ranks are against all 93 districts.
- Median household income
- $88,00043 of 93
- Average rent
- $1,44839 of 93
- Renters
- 42.3%18 of 93
- Bachelor's or higher
- 31.4%32 of 93
- Median age
- 40.856 of 93
- Over 65
- 17.2%62 of 93
- Immigrants
- 49.1%16 of 93
- Visible minority
- 72.0%14 of 93
- Indigenous identity
- 1.7%79 of 93
- Unemployment
- 9.7%13 of 93
Closest races in Metro Vancouver
The seats most likely to move with this one.