Chéticamp-Margarees-Pleasant Bay
MLA: Claude Bourgeois · Progressive Conservative
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Oct 11, 2026; the next election may be years away.
Liberal75% chance of winning
- Liberal · 38.2% projected vote75%
- Progressive Conservative · 34.1% projected vote25%
- NS NDP · 23.3% projected vote<1%
2026 by-election
Shown for the record. A by-election is a small, unusual vote, so the projection starts from the 2024 general election instead.
- Claude Bourgeois · Progressive Conservativeelected1,31548.8%
- Denis Cormier · Liberal1,08040.0%
- Trevor Poirier · NS NDP2589.6%
- Nik Boisvert · Green441.6%
2024 result
Estimated. This district's boundaries date from 2026, when the old Inverness was split in two, so its 2024 figures are the old district's polls that fall within it, with advance and mail votes shared in proportion. An estimate, not a count.
- Kyle MacQuarrie · Progressive Conservativeahead1,05051.9%
- Jaime Beaton · Liberal71435.3%
- Joanna Clark · NS NDP26012.8%
- Margin
- 16.6%
- Tier
- Lean
- Turnout
- 51.3%
- Registered
- 3,944
2021 result
Estimated. This district's boundaries date from 2026, when the old Inverness was split in two, so its 2021 figures are the old district's polls that fall within it, with advance and mail votes shared in proportion. An estimate, not a count.
- Damian MacInnis · Liberalahead1,43249.7%
- Allan Gerard MacMaster · Progressive Conservative1,22242.4%
- Joanna Clark · NS NDP2277.9%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Nova Scotia's provincial districts, so these are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are exact sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 56 districts.
- Median household income
- $64,46239 of 56
- Average rent
- $65753 of 56
- Renters
- 15.8%43 of 56
- Bachelor's or higher
- 14.8%39 of 56
- Median age
- 56.32 of 56
- Over 65
- 33.4%1 of 56
- Speak French
- 50.5%3 of 56
- Immigrants
- 3.5%39 of 56
- Indigenous identity
- 8.5%9 of 56
- Unemployment
- 20.3%4 of 56
Closest races in Cape Breton
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Results and boundaries: Elections Nova Scotia. Census: Statistics Canada.