← Map
Fundy-NortheastLeanRural
Cumberland North
MLA: Elizabeth Smith-McCrossin · Independent
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Oct 11, 2026; the next election may be years away.
Independent75% chance of winning
- Independent · 41.6% projected vote75%
- Progressive Conservative · 26.6% projected vote25%
2024 result
- Elizabeth Smith-McCrossin · Independentelected3,56755.3%
- Bill Dowe · Progressive Conservative2,19434.0%
- Kurt Ditner · Liberal4146.4%
- Tyson Boyd · NS NDP2774.3%
- Margin
- 21.3%
- Tier
- Safe
- Turnout
- 45.2%
- Registered
- 14,277
2021 result
- Elizabeth Smith-McCrossin · Independentelected4,23553.9%
- Bill Casey · Liberal2,48831.6%
- Lauren Skabar · NS NDP5697.2%
- David Wightman · Progressive Conservative5697.2%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Nova Scotia's provincial districts, so these are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are exact sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 56 districts.
- Median household income
- $61,80344 of 56
- Average rent
- $80438 of 56
- Renters
- 30.0%20 of 56
- Bachelor's or higher
- 14.6%40 of 56
- Median age
- 51.815 of 56
- Over 65
- 29.0%8 of 56
- Speak French
- 5.9%41 of 56
- Immigrants
- 3.4%42 of 56
- Indigenous identity
- 2.5%49 of 56
- Unemployment
- 11.9%31 of 56
Closest races in Fundy-Northeast
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Results and boundaries: Elections Nova Scotia. Census: Statistics Canada.