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South ShoreSafeRural

Yarmouth

MLA: Nick Hilton · Progressive Conservative

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Oct 11, 2026; the next election may be years away.

Liberal>99% chance of winning

  • Liberal · 51.0% projected vote>99%

2024 result

  • Nick Hilton · Progressive Conservativeelected3,66348.3%
  • Zach Churchill · Liberal3,64748.1%
  • Gillian Rowley · NS NDP2082.7%
  • Adam Randall · Green620.8%
Margin
0.2%
Tier
Toss-up
Turnout
52.0%
Registered
14,563

2021 result

  • Zach Churchill · Liberalelected4,34456.3%
  • Candice Clairmont · Progressive Conservative2,85637.0%
  • Sj Rogers · NS NDP3224.2%
  • Adam Randall · Green1912.5%

District at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Nova Scotia's provincial districts, so these are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are exact sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 56 districts.

Median household income
$60,37847 of 56
Average rent
$77045 of 56
Renters
30.5%19 of 56
Bachelor's or higher
13.2%45 of 56
Median age
49.522 of 56
Over 65
26.1%20 of 56
Speak French
16.5%8 of 56
Immigrants
3.8%36 of 56
Indigenous identity
16.1%4 of 56
Unemployment
14.0%16 of 56

Closest races in South Shore

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Results and boundaries: Elections Nova Scotia. Census: Statistics Canada.