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MBSAFEPrairies
Brandon—Souris
G
Grant Jackson
Conservative
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Conservative54%±5%·>99% win
Liberal26%±5%·<1% win
NDP15%±5%·<1% win
Green3%±3%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Resource sector
11.1%
#32 of 343top 10%
Median income
$48,360
Renters
30.1%
Under 35
21.4%
Top industry
Public sector · 31.1%
Area
19,684 km²
GE45 result
Margin
38.8%
Competitive
61.2/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare28.2% aged 65+
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#T237
Median income
$48,360
#200
Avg 2BR rent
$1409/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T298
Unemployment
6.6%
bottom 25%#269
Shelter stressed
14.0%
bottom 25%#141
Renters
30.1%
Age distribution
Under 35
21.4%#56
35–64
50.4%
65+
28.2%#172
Housing tenure
Renters
30.1%#141
Owners
68.8%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
11.7%#111
High school
32.2%#T25
College/trades
34.2%#182
Bachelor's
15.9%#T216
Postgrad
6.0%#243
People & Economy
#308
French knowledge
4.3%
bottom 25%#201
Immigrants
13.1%
#T148
Recent arrivals
3.7%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#190
Visible minority
13.6%
#35
Indigenous
12.7%
top 25%#T148
Govt. transfers
13.8%
#T112
Self-employed
15.7%
Industry of employment
Public sector31.1%
Trades & transport17.4%
Resources11.1%
Manufacturing8.1%
Finance & prof6.1%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
ModerateIndex: 23.5 / 100
Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.
ModerateIndex: 24 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$7.2M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$2.6M/yr
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