A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal65%±7%·>99% win
Bloc Québécois13%±5%·<1% win
Conservative11%±5%·<1% win
NDP5%±5%·<1% win
Green4%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Finance & prof
22.6%
#25 of 343top 10%
Median income
$60,200
Renters
32.4%
Under 35
13.3%
Top industry
Public sector · 23.1%
Area
65 km²
GE45 result
Margin
43.3%
Competitive
56.7/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare31.8% aged 65+
Immigration & settlement36.0% immigrants
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#68
Median income
$60,200
top 25%
#T208
Avg 2BR rent
$1392/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T220
Unemployment
9.0%
#172
Shelter stressed
19.6%
#121
Renters
32.4%
Age distribution
Under 35
13.3%#T224
35–64
54.9%
65+
31.8%#90
Housing tenure
Renters
32.4%#121
Owners
67.6%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
6.8%#T252
High school
14.3%#320
College/trades
30.1%#T239
Bachelor's
28.6%#64
Postgrad
20.3%#35
People & Economy
#69
French knowledge
84.5%
top 25%
#73
Immigrants
36.0%
top 25%
#T100
Recent arrivals
5.2%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#71
Visible minority
43.0%
top 25%
#T313
Indigenous
0.6%
bottom 10%
#T201
Govt. transfers
11.7%
#T103
Self-employed
15.9%
Industry of employment
Public sector23.1%
Finance & prof22.6%
Trades & transport9.6%
Manufacturing7.3%
Resources0.5%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
Very high
Index: 57.4 / 100
Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.