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MBSAFEPrairies
St. Boniface—St. Vital
G
Ginette Lavack
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal63%±6%·>99% win
Conservative23%±5%·<1% win
NDP9%±5%·<1% win
Green3%±3%·<1% win
People's2%±3%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Public sector
33.4%
#53 of 343top 25%
Median income
$54,000
Renters
35.2%
Under 35
17.4%
Top industry
Public sector · 33.4%
Area
67 km²
GE45 result
Margin
27.5%
Competitive
72.5/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare28.6% aged 65+
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#T140
Median income
$54,000
#205
Avg 2BR rent
$1399/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T241
Unemployment
8.5%
#171
Shelter stressed
19.7%
#104
Renters
35.2%
Age distribution
Under 35
17.4%#108
35–64
54.0%
65+
28.6%#159
Housing tenure
Renters
35.2%#104
Owners
64.8%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
7.0%#249
High school
23.9%#161
College/trades
30.1%#T239
Bachelor's
26.4%#94
Postgrad
12.6%#114
People & Economy
#100
French knowledge
20.9%
#155
Immigrants
20.2%
#88
Recent arrivals
5.6%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#143
Visible minority
24.8%
#36
Indigenous
12.7%
top 25%#208
Govt. transfers
11.6%
#260
Self-employed
11.3%
bottom 25%Industry of employment
Public sector33.4%
Trades & transport14.9%
Finance & prof12.5%
Manufacturing6.3%
Resources0.8%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
HighIndex: 45.5 / 100
Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.
High severityIndex: 159.7 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$2.3M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$0.2M/yr
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