A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Conservative38%±6%·66% win
Liberal35%±6%·34% win
Bloc Québécois18%±5%·<1% win
NDP5%±5%·<1% win
Green3%±3%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
French knowledge
99.6%
#13 of 343top 5%
Median income
$54,500
Renters
35.4%
Under 35
17.1%
Top industry
Public sector · 36.6%
Area
128 km²
GE45 result
Margin
11.9%
Competitive
88.1/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare27.5% aged 65+
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#130
Median income
$54,500
#192
Avg 2BR rent
$1433/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T324
Unemployment
5.6%
bottom 10%
#301
Shelter stressed
12.3%
bottom 25%
#101
Renters
35.4%
Age distribution
Under 35
17.1%#112
35–64
55.3%
65+
27.5%#180
Housing tenure
Renters
35.4%#101
Owners
64.5%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
6.1%#273
High school
15.8%#306
College/trades
47.7%#28
Bachelor's
20.2%#157
Postgrad
10.2%#T150
People & Economy
#13
French knowledge
99.6%
top 5%
#283
Immigrants
5.4%
bottom 25%
#246
Recent arrivals
1.2%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#260
Visible minority
5.8%
bottom 25%
#T147
Indigenous
3.5%
#T178
Govt. transfers
12.8%
#333
Self-employed
7.7%
bottom 5%
Industry of employment
Public sector36.6%
Finance & prof13.8%
Trades & transport13.6%
Manufacturing6.3%
Resources0.5%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
Low
Index: 16.3 / 100
Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.