A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal47%±6%·76% win
Conservative42%±6%·24% win
NDP5%±5%·<1% win
Green3%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±3%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Retail & service
23.6%
#2 of 343top 5%
Median income
$40,440
Renters
26.2%
Under 35
13.9%
Top industry
Retail & service · 23.6%
Area
74 km²
GE45 result
Margin
3.1%
Competitive
96.9/100
Key issues
Immigration & settlement51.5% immigrants
Employment15.0% unemployment
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#331
Median income
$40,440
bottom 5%
#83
Avg 2BR rent
$1833/mo
top 25%
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T25
Unemployment
15.0%
top 10%
#115
Shelter stressed
22.7%
#191
Renters
26.2%
Age distribution
Under 35
13.9%#T199
35–64
66.4%
65+
19.7%#316
Housing tenure
Renters
26.2%#191
Owners
73.8%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
17.6%#28
High school
29.6%#63
College/trades
25.4%#293
Bachelor's
18.7%#174
Postgrad
8.7%#186
People & Economy
#332
French knowledge
3.0%
bottom 5%
#27
Immigrants
51.5%
top 10%
#9
Recent arrivals
9.7%
top 5%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#15
Visible minority
76.9%
top 5%
#T177
Indigenous
2.6%
#T92
Govt. transfers
16.0%
#158
Self-employed
14.1%
Industry of employment
Trades & transport27.0%
Public sector17.9%
Finance & prof7.6%
Manufacturing6.4%
Resources1.8%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
Low
Index: 3.4 / 100
Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.