ABSAFEPrairies

Calgary Midnapore

Stephanie Kusie

Conservative

Civic Tools

A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.

Projected vote share — current polls

Conservative58%±6%·>99% win

Liberal32%±5%·<1% win

NDP5%±5%·<1% win

Green3%±3%·<1% win

People's2%±2%·<1% win

Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win

Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations

Riding snapshot

Median income

$65,000

#42 of 343top 25%

Renters

23.1%

Under 35

15.2%

Top industry

Public sector · 22.0%

Area

83 km²

GE45 result

Margin

35.6%

Competitive

64.4/100

Demographics · 2021 Census

Key Stats

#42

Median income

$65,000

top 25%

#67

Avg 2BR rent

$1918/mo

top 25%

2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025

#T98

Unemployment

11.9%

#149

Shelter stressed

20.9%

#240

Renters

23.1%

Age distribution

Under 35

15.2%#163

35–64

61.7%

65+

23.1%#272

Housing tenure

Renters

23.1%#240

Owners

76.8%

Education attainment (ages 25–64)

No diploma

5.9%#279

High school

23.2%#T172

College/trades

33.7%#190

Bachelor's

26.8%#T87

Postgrad

10.4%#147

People & Economy

#212

French knowledge

6.7%

#116

Immigrants

27.1%

#113

Recent arrivals

4.7%

Immigrants arrived 2016–21

#133

Visible minority

26.8%

#150

Indigenous

3.4%

#305

Govt. transfers

8.1%

bottom 25%

#125

Self-employed

15.3%

Industry of employment

Public sector22.0%

Trades & transport17.2%

Finance & prof15.8%

Manufacturing4.9%

Resources4.7%

Infrastructure & environment

Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.

Low

Index: 13.0 / 100

Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.

Average

Index: 80.0 (avg = 100)

Federal Spending

Avg federal spending

$1.1M/yr

Avg CCBF allocation

$6.0M/yr

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