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QCLEANQuebec
Châteauguay—Les Jardins-de-Napierville
N
Nathalie Provost
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal49%±6%·>99% win
Bloc Québécois27%±5%·<1% win
Conservative14%±5%·<1% win
NDP5%±5%·<1% win
Green3%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±3%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
French knowledge
92.4%
#58 of 343top 25%
Median income
$48,400
Renters
25.8%
Under 35
14.0%
Top industry
Public sector · 25.4%
Area
1,553 km²
GE45 result
Margin
16.1%
Competitive
83.9/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare28.3% aged 65+
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#T235
Median income
$48,400
#294
Avg 2BR rent
$1074/mo
bottom 25%2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T303
Unemployment
6.4%
bottom 25%#257
Shelter stressed
14.6%
#201
Renters
25.8%
Age distribution
Under 35
14.0%#196
35–64
57.7%
65+
28.3%#166
Housing tenure
Renters
25.8%#201
Owners
74.2%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
14.0%#65
High school
22.1%#196
College/trades
45.8%#42
Bachelor's
12.7%#280
Postgrad
5.4%#T262
People & Economy
#58
French knowledge
92.4%
top 25%#208
Immigrants
12.3%
#240
Recent arrivals
1.3%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#194
Visible minority
13.2%
#T180
Indigenous
2.5%
#T78
Govt. transfers
16.4%
top 25%#224
Self-employed
12.3%
Industry of employment
Public sector25.4%
Trades & transport22.2%
Manufacturing10.6%
Finance & prof9.1%
Resources4.4%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
HighIndex: 39.9 / 100
Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.
LowIndex: 1 (avg = 100)
Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.
Below averageIndex: 79.2 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$1.9M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$7.9M/yr
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